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PRMIA 8010 Exam - Topic 8 Question 60 Discussion

Actual exam question for PRMIA's 8010 exam
Question #: 60
Topic #: 8
[All 8010 Questions]

Which of the following statements are true in relation to Monte Carlo based VaR calculations:

1. Monte Carlo VaR relies upon a full revalution of the portfolio for each simulation

2. Monte Carlo VaR relies upon the delta or delta-gamma approximation for valuation

3. Monte Carlo VaR can capture a wide range of distributional assumptions for asset returns

4. Monte Carlo VaR is less compute intensive than Historical VaR

Show Suggested Answer Hide Answer
Suggested Answer: A

Monte Carlo VaR computations generally include the following steps:

1. Generate multivariate normal random numbers, based upon the correlation matrix of the risk factors

2. Based upon these correlated random numbers, calculate the new level of the risk factor (eg, an index value, or interest rate)

3. Use the new level of the risk factor to revalue each of the underlying assets, and calculate the difference from the initial valuation of the portfolio. This is the portfolio P&L.

4. Use the portfolio P&L to estimate the desired percentile (eg, 99th percentile) to get and estimate of the VaR.

Monte Carlo based VaR calculations rely upon full portfolio revaluations, as opposed to delta/delta-gamma approximations. As a result, they are also computationally more intensive. Because they are not limited by the range of instruments and the properties they can cover, they can capture a wide range of distributional assumptions for asset returns. They also tend to provide more robust estimates for the tail, including portions of the tail that lie beyond the VaR cutoff.

Therefore I and III are true, and the other two are not.


Contribute your Thoughts:

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Lanie
3 months ago
Surprised to see 4 as a claim, that doesn't sound right at all!
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Chery
3 months ago
I thought it was all about the delta-gamma approximation, so 2 seems right.
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Merlyn
3 months ago
Wait, isn't Monte Carlo more compute-intensive than Historical VaR?
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Kaycee
4 months ago
Totally agree, 1 and 3 are spot on!
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Merlyn
4 months ago
Monte Carlo VaR does require full revaluation for each simulation.
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Teri
4 months ago
I practiced a question similar to this, and I think Monte Carlo is actually more compute-intensive than Historical VaR, which makes statement 4 questionable.
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Zona
4 months ago
I definitely recall that Monte Carlo can handle different distributional assumptions, so statement 3 seems correct to me.
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Floyd
4 months ago
I'm not entirely sure about statement 2; I thought Monte Carlo methods don't rely on delta-gamma approximations but rather simulate actual price paths.
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Arletta
5 months ago
I remember that Monte Carlo VaR does require full revaluation for each simulation, so I think statement 1 is true.
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Blythe
5 months ago
Hmm, I'm not sure about the compute intensity comparison. I'll have to think that through carefully.
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Karl
5 months ago
The ability to capture different distributional assumptions is a key advantage of Monte Carlo VaR. I'll make sure I understand that well.
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Cary
5 months ago
Monte Carlo VaR requires a full revaluation, right? I think that's the main difference from the delta or delta-gamma approximation used in other methods.
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Tien
5 months ago
Okay, I'm pretty sure I know the differences between Monte Carlo and Historical VaR. Let me review the key points.
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Ressie
5 months ago
This looks like a tricky one. I'll need to think through the details of Monte Carlo VaR to answer this properly.
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Peggie
1 year ago
Haha, Abel, you might need to upgrade to a supercomputer for those Monte Carlo simulations! This question is really testing our understanding of the various VaR methodologies.
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Darnell
1 year ago
Yeah, that's right. It's important to understand the differences between Monte Carlo VaR and Historical VaR.
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Jettie
1 year ago
I think the correct answer is A) 1 and 3, because Monte Carlo VaR can capture different distributional assumptions for asset returns.
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Ivette
1 year ago
I know, Monte Carlo simulations can be quite computationally intensive!
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Abel
1 year ago
Wait, does this mean I can't use my trusty calculator for the Monte Carlo VaR calculations? I was hoping to breeze through this question.
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Janessa
1 year ago
Hmm, I'm not so sure. I thought Monte Carlo VaR was more computationally intensive than Historical VaR. Maybe I'm missing something here.
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Yolande
1 year ago
I agree with Jenelle. The other statements about delta-gamma approximation and compute intensity are not true for Monte Carlo VaR.
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Silvana
1 year ago
So the answer is A) 1 and 3.
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Dominga
1 year ago
Yes, and it can capture a wide range of distributional assumptions for asset returns.
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Victor
1 year ago
I agree, Monte Carlo VaR does rely upon a full revaluation of the portfolio for each simulation.
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Ashleigh
1 year ago
I think the correct statements are 1 and 3.
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Vicente
1 year ago
But Monte Carlo VaR can capture a wide range of distributional assumptions, so I think A) 1 and 3 is correct.
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Jenelle
1 year ago
Option A is correct. Monte Carlo VaR does rely on a full revaluation of the portfolio for each simulation, and it can capture a wide range of distributional assumptions.
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Dominga
1 year ago
So, the correct answer is A) 1 and 3.
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Marnie
1 year ago
Yes, that's right. It also can capture a wide range of distributional assumptions for asset returns.
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Lenna
1 year ago
I think option A is correct. Monte Carlo VaR relies on a full revaluation of the portfolio for each simulation.
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Lisbeth
1 year ago
I disagree, I believe the answer is B) 2 and 4.
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Vicente
1 year ago
I think the answer is A) 1 and 3.
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