When selecting strategies as an activity of Plan Risk Response, what is the overall goal?
The overall goal of selecting strategies during the Plan Risk Response activity is to choose those strategies that have the greatest overall positive influence on the project, considering factors such as cost, schedule, and resources.
According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline1, one of the tasks in the domain ofRisk Responseis to select risk response strategies based on the risk appetite and tolerance of the organization and stakeholders1. The overall goal of selecting risk response strategies is to select the strategies with the greatest overall positive influence on the project objectives, such as scope, schedule, cost, quality, etc.The risk response strategies should aim to enhance the opportunities and reduce the threats to the project, while considering the cost-benefit analysis, the feasibility, and the alignment with the project goals and stakeholder expectations2.The risk response strategies should not be selected based on the least overall impact to resources, because that may not be the most effective or efficient way to address the risks, and it may ignore the potential benefits of some strategies that may require more resources but also deliver more value3. The risk response strategies should not be selected based on the least financial impact, because that may not be the most relevant or comprehensive criterion to evaluate the risks, and it may overlook other aspects of the project, such as quality, customer satisfaction, reputation, etc.that may also be affected by the risks4.The risk response strategies should not be selected based on the greatest benefit to stakeholders, because that may not be the most realistic or achievable goal, and it may create conflicts or trade-offs among different stakeholder groups that may have different or competing interests, needs, and expectations5.Reference:1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Examination Content Outline, page 102: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) -- Sixth Edition, page 4403: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) -- Sixth Edition, page 4414: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) -- Sixth Edition, page 4425: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) -- Sixth Edition, page 518.
In the early stages of a manufacturing project, a risk manager has identified a risk with a component provided by an external supplier that might be delayed. The delay may or may not be significant to the project.
What should the risk manager do?
Setting risk thresholds in collaboration with stakeholders ensures clarity on what is considered tolerable risk. PMBOK Guide and ISO 31000 state:
'Risk thresholds reflect the degree of risk that stakeholders are willing to accept. These should be defined collaboratively at the start of the project.'
--- PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, Section 11.1
'The organization should define its risk criteria and thresholds, in consultation with stakeholders.'
--- ISO 31000:2018, Section 6.3
PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, Section 11.1
ISO 31000:2018, Section 6.3
A certain risk is identified for a major project, and the risk response is planned. However, the analysis reveals a high probability for a secondary risk which will be tolerated based on the organization's risk thresholds. The secondary risk is subsequently registered. During project execution, the primary risk occurs, the planned action is taken, and the secondary risk emerges
What two actions should the risk owner take? (Choose two.)
The risk owner should implement the secondary risk response, as it is now being tolerated, and update the project documents accordingly. They should also update and communicate the assessments of the secondary risk's impact to ensure everyone is aware of the situation.
According to the PMI-RMP Handbook1, the risk owner is responsible for implementing the risk response plan and monitoring the risk and its secondary risks. Therefore, the risk owner should take the following two actions when the secondary risk emerges:
Implement the secondary risk response and update the project documents. This action is consistent with the risk response strategy of tolerance, which means accepting the risk and its consequences. The risk owner should execute the planned response for the secondary risk, such as contingency plans or fallback plans, and update the relevant project documents, such as the risk register, the risk report, and the lessons learned register, to reflect the current status and impact of the risk.
Update and communicate assessments of the secondary risk's impact. This action is consistent with the risk monitoring and control process, which involves tracking the identified risks, evaluating their impact and probability, and reporting the risk information to the appropriate stakeholders. The risk owner should reassess the secondary risk's impact on the project objectives, such as scope, schedule, cost, and quality, and communicate the results to the project manager and other relevant stakeholders, such as the sponsor, the customer, and the team members.
:
PMI-RMP Handbook1
PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management2
A risk manager reviews a Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model before sharing the results with the project manager. The risk manager notices that activity correlations were not included in the model.
What is an effect of adding the correlation to the model?
Adding correlation to the model accounts for the relationship between activities, which can result in increased variability in the model's outcomes. This will increase the standard deviation, which is a measure of the uncertainty in the model.
According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, an effect of adding the correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model is that it increases the standard deviation of the model. This is because:
Correlation is the statistical relationship between two or more variables. In a schedule risk analysis, correlation can be used to model the dependency between the durations of different activities. For example, if two activities are positively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is also likely to take longer than expected. Conversely, if two activities are negatively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is likely to take shorter than expected.
A Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis is a simul-ation technique that uses random values for uncertain variables, such as activity durations, to generate possible outcomes for the project schedule. The simul-ation is repeated many times to produce a probability distribution of the project completion date and duration. The standard deviation is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the distribution. A higher standard deviation means that the distribution is more spread out and less predictable.
Adding correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model increases the standard deviation of the model because it introduces more variability and uncertainty to the simul-ation. Correlated activities can have a cumulative effect on the project schedule, either positively or negatively, depending on the direction and strength of the correlation. This can result in more extreme outcomes for the project completion date and duration, which increase the spread of the distribution and the standard deviation.
:
PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1
Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam Cert Guide2
The risk manager of a major project needs to ensure the organizational process assets (OPAsj are updated as a result of risk management activities. How will the risk manager accomplish this?
The risk manager can ensure the organizational process assets (OPAs) are updated as a result of risk management activities by arranging periodic risk management process audits. These audits help evaluate the effectiveness of risk management processes and identify areas of improvement, leading to updates in the OPAs.
According to the PMBOK Guide, one of the tools and techniques for the monitor risks process isaudits. Audits are examinations of the risk management processes to ensure that they are aligned with the project objectives and are following the organizational policies and procedures. Audits can also identify any gaps, inconsistencies, or areas of improvement in the risk management activities. By conducting periodic audits, the risk manager can ensure that the organizational process assets are updated and reflect the current state of the project risk management.Some of the organizational process assets that can be updated as a result of audits are risk management templates, risk categories, risk databases, and lessons learned1.Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, pages 456-457, 481-4821; PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, 2015, page 9
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