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PRMIA 8010 Exam - Topic 5 Question 86 Discussion

Posted by Dwight on May 17, 2026 at 03:56 AM

The unexpected loss for a credit portfolio at a given VaR estimate is defined as:

Suggested Answer: D

Unexpected loss for a credit portfolio refers to the excess of the VaR estimate over the average expected loss. The term 'unexpected loss' has this specific meaning in the context of credit risk, and not any other intuitive meaning. So if for a portfolio worth $100m expected losses are 4%, and the credit VaR at 99% is $12m, then unexpected losses at that VaR quintile are $8m. This is unrelated to actual realized losses versus expected losses.

Therefore Choice 'd' is the correct answer and the others are not.

Unexpected loss is used to determine the capital reserves to be maintained against a credit portfolio at a certain level of confidence.


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27 comments · newest first
LA
Lachelle 4 days ago
I think it's A. It makes sense to consider only the excess loss.
AU
Audry 9 days ago
I agree with A too. It captures the real risk beyond expectations.
GI
Gilma 14 days ago
A aligns with how we assess unexpected losses.
MA
Mary 20 days ago
D feels off. VaR should be a threshold, not a subtraction.
MY
Myra 25 days ago
C is my pick. It focuses on the VaR aspect directly.
GI
Gianna 30 days ago
I prefer B. Actual minus expected seems straightforward.
CA
Carmen 1 month ago
I think it's A. It makes sense to consider only the excess loss.
TI
Tiera 1 month ago
I agree with A too. It focuses on the unexpected part of the loss.
TR
Truman 2 months ago
A is definitely the best choice. It aligns with risk management principles.
MO
Mozell 2 months ago
D feels off. VaR should be higher than expected loss, right?
CA
Caitlin 2 months ago
C is interesting, but I feel it doesn't capture the full picture.
BE
Beula 2 months ago
I lean towards B. Actual minus expected seems straightforward.
MI
Mirta 2 months ago
I think it's A. It makes sense to consider only the positive difference.
AN
Annett 2 months ago
I agree, A is the right choice!
LE
Leonida 3 months ago
Wait, is it really A? That seems a bit off.
RI
Rima 3 months ago
A makes the most sense to me.
VI
Vincenza 3 months ago
I thought it was B) Actual Loss - Expected Loss?
LA
Latia 3 months ago
It's definitely A) max(Actual Loss - Expected Loss, 0).
TR
Trinidad 3 months ago
I agree, A is the right choice!
RO
Roslyn 3 months ago
Wait, is it really A? That seems a bit off.
LA
Laurel 4 months ago
A makes the most sense to me.
MO
Moon 4 months ago
I thought it was B) Actual Loss - Expected Loss?
CA
Carman 4 months ago
It's definitely A) max(Actual Loss - Expected Loss, 0).
LO
Loreen 4 months ago
I feel like D is definitely not right since VaR should be higher than expected loss in most cases. But I can't recall the exact formula for unexpected loss.
AL
Alise 4 months ago
I’m a bit confused about the definitions here. I thought VaR was supposed to represent potential losses, so could it be C?
RU
Ruth 4 months ago
I remember practicing a similar question, and I think the formula involves comparing actual loss to expected loss directly, which makes me lean towards B.
AD
Adelaide 6 months ago
I think the unexpected loss is related to how much actual loss exceeds expected loss, so maybe it's A? But I'm not entirely sure.
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