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PMI-SP Exam - Topic 1 Question 93 Discussion

Actual exam question for PMI's PMI-SP exam
Question #: 93
Topic #: 1
[All PMI-SP Questions]

Jenny is the project manager for her organization. Her project is not doing well on project schedule performance, and management wants her to predict how the project schedule and cost will end. Management has asked Jenny to report and forecast her project's performance based on the Judgmental methods. Which of the following judgmental methods will Jenny use to accomplish the task? Each correct answer represents a complete solution. Choose all that apply.

Show Suggested Answer Hide Answer
Suggested Answer: B

The law of diminishing returns state that the user cannot exponentially add labor to a

project to reduce the amount of time required to complete the project work. In other words, Harry

cannot keep doubling the workforce on this project to reduce the project duration down to

just a few minutes.

The law of diminishing returns state that 'the user will get less and less output when he add

additional doses of an input while holding other

inputs fixed. In other words, the marginal product of each unit of input will decline as the amount of

that input increases holding all other

inputs constant.' Diminishing returns mean that the extra labor causes output to fall, which means

that the MPL is negative. In other words,

the change in output per unit increase in labor is negative and total output is falling.

Answer option C is incorrect. This is not a valid project management term.

Answer option A is incorrect. Parkinson's Law states that work will expand to the amount of time

allotted to it.

Answer option D is incorrect. Moore's Law is based on Intel's Gordon Moore who stated that

processor speeds generally double in power

every 18 months.


Contribute your Thoughts:

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Vilma
3 months ago
Totally agree with you, Janey! Forecast by analogy is the way to go!
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Starr
3 months ago
Autoregressive moving average? Really? That sounds complicated for a project manager.
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Tamesha
3 months ago
Not sure about technology forecasting. Seems a bit off for this situation.
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Lyda
4 months ago
I think scenario building is also a solid choice for her.
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Janey
4 months ago
Jenny should definitely use forecast by analogy. It's a classic!
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Lashaun
4 months ago
I think "Autoregressive moving average" is more of a statistical method, not really judgmental. I might be mixing it up with something else we studied.
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Desmond
4 months ago
I feel like "Scenario building" could be a good choice here too. It allows for different outcomes based on varying assumptions, right?
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Francisca
4 months ago
I'm a bit unsure about "Technology forecasting." It seems more technical than judgmental, but maybe it fits in some way?
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Delisa
5 months ago
I remember we discussed forecasting methods in class, and I think "Forecast by analogy" is definitely one of the judgmental methods Jenny could use.
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Ena
5 months ago
I feel pretty confident about this one. Forecast by analogy and scenario building are the two judgmental forecasting methods that would be most relevant for predicting a project's schedule and cost performance. I'll select those and move on.
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Floyd
5 months ago
I'm a little confused by the options here. Autoregressive moving average sounds more like a statistical forecasting method, not a judgmental one. I'll have to double-check my understanding of these techniques before answering.
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Elza
5 months ago
Okay, I've got this. Forecast by analogy and scenario building are definitely judgmental forecasting methods that could be used to predict project performance. I'll make sure to select those.
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Cruz
5 months ago
Hmm, I'm a bit unsure about this one. The question is asking about specific forecasting techniques, but I'm not totally familiar with all of them. I'll have to think through the options carefully.
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Marshall
5 months ago
This seems like a straightforward question about forecasting methods. I think I'll focus on the key terms like "judgmental methods" and "project performance" to identify the relevant options.
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Remona
10 months ago
I'm just glad they didn't include 'consulting the Magic 8-Ball' as an option. That would have been an even bigger giveaway!
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Jovita
9 months ago
D) Scenario building
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Ilene
9 months ago
B) Technology forecasting
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Dallas
9 months ago
A) Forecast by analogy
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Desirae
10 months ago
I bet Jenny wishes she could just roll a pair of dice to predict the future. That would be a lot easier than these 'judgmental methods'.
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Domingo
9 months ago
D) Scenario building
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Leatha
9 months ago
B) Technology forecasting
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Lavera
9 months ago
A) Forecast by analogy
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Chi
10 months ago
Technology forecasting? Really? Jenny's not trying to predict the next big tech trend, she just needs to get a handle on her project's performance. A and D all the way!
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Tyra
10 months ago
Wait, why is Autoregressive Moving Average even an option? That's more for time-series forecasting, not judgmental methods. Clearly, A and D are the correct answers.
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Paris
8 months ago
Management needs accurate predictions to make informed decisions about the project's schedule and cost.
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Letha
8 months ago
Jenny should definitely choose Forecast by analogy and Scenario building for predicting project performance.
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Berry
9 months ago
Yeah, I agree. Forecast by analogy and Scenario building seem more appropriate for judgmental methods.
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Junita
10 months ago
I think Autoregressive moving average is used for time-series forecasting.
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Cherrie
10 months ago
Hmm, I think Forecast by Analogy and Scenario Building are the way to go here. Jenny needs to look at similar projects and build different scenarios to predict the schedule and cost outcome.
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Cortney
10 months ago
Yes, those methods will definitely help Jenny predict the project's performance accurately.
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Mee
10 months ago
I agree, Forecast by Analogy and Scenario Building are great options for Jenny to use in this situation.
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Linwood
11 months ago
I think Autoregressive moving average could also be helpful in forecasting project performance.
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Louvenia
11 months ago
I agree with Shala. Forecast by analogy and Scenario building are good judgmental methods for predicting project performance.
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Shala
11 months ago
Jenny should use Forecast by analogy and Scenario building.
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