Using the three-point estimating technique, if the most likely duration is four months, the optimistic duration is two months, and the pessimistic duration is one year, how many months is the expected activity duration?
I don't know, man. I'm just here for the free donuts. What's this about three-point estimating? Can I use that to estimate how many donuts I can eat in one sitting?
This is easy! The expected duration is the average of the three estimates. So, (2 + 4 + 12) / 3 = 6 months. Wait, that's not one of the options. I guess I'll just go with C - five months.
Hold on, isn't the three-point estimating technique supposed to give us a more accurate estimate? I'm going to have to do some calculations on this one. Hmm, I'll go with option D - twelve months. Better safe than sorry, right?
Okay, let's think this through. The most likely duration is four months, the optimistic duration is two months, and the pessimistic duration is one year. I'm going to go with option C - five months. That sounds about right.
This is a trick question! The expected duration is clearly not two months, four months, or even twelve months. Whoever came up with this needs to go back to school.
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