PMI CAPM Exam - Topic 6 Question 79 Discussion

Actual exam question for PMI's CAPM exam

Question #: 79
Topic #: 6

Using the three-point estimating technique, if the most likely duration is four months, the optimistic duration is two months, and the pessimistic duration is one year, how many months is the expected activity duration?

ATwo

BFour

CFive

DTwelve

Show Suggested Answer

Suggested Answer: D

by Freeman at Aug 05, 2024, 03:19 PM

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Mila

6 months ago

The expected duration comes out to around 5 months.

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Dick

6 months ago

Totally agree, that pessimistic estimate skews everything!

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Annamaria

7 months ago

Wait, how can the pessimistic be a whole year? That seems off.

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Whitney

7 months ago

So it's definitely not just 4 months!

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Bong

7 months ago

Expected duration is calculated using the formula (O + 4M + P) / 6.

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Edda

7 months ago

If I remember correctly, the expected duration is calculated as (Optimistic + 4*Most Likely + Pessimistic) / 6, but I'm not confident about the numbers.

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Ira

8 months ago

I feel like the pessimistic duration really skews the average, but I can't recall the exact calculation method.

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Germaine

8 months ago

I remember practicing a similar question, and I think you average the optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely durations somehow.

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Gertude

8 months ago

I think the three-point estimating technique uses a formula, but I'm not entirely sure how to apply it here.

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Stephanie

8 months ago

Wait, I think the formula is (Optimistic + 4 x Most Likely + Pessimistic) / 6. Let me double-check that and work it out.

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Yvonne

8 months ago

The most likely duration is 4 months, the optimistic is 2 months, and the pessimistic is 12 months. I'm pretty sure the expected duration is the average of these three values.

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Lucille

8 months ago

Hmm, I'm a bit unsure about the formula for calculating the expected duration here. Let me think this through step-by-step.

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Marya

8 months ago

Okay, this looks like a classic three-point estimating problem. I think I can handle this one.

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Floyd

8 months ago

I've got this! The missing factor is definitely the material properties of the components. That makes perfect sense in the context of vibration-induced fatigue. I'm feeling good about this one.

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Lonny

8 months ago

This is a tricky one. I'm not entirely sure what the "except" part means, but I'll give it my best shot and try to eliminate the odd one out.

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Maybelle

8 months ago

Hmm, I'm a bit confused by all the technical details in the images. I'll try to break it down step-by-step and see if I can figure out the correct answer.

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Franchesca

1 year ago

I don't know, man. I'm just here for the free donuts. What's this about three-point estimating? Can I use that to estimate how many donuts I can eat in one sitting?

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Lavina

1 year ago

This is easy! The expected duration is the average of the three estimates. So, (2 + 4 + 12) / 3 = 6 months. Wait, that's not one of the options. I guess I'll just go with C - five months.

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Nettie

1 year ago

Hold on, isn't the three-point estimating technique supposed to give us a more accurate estimate? I'm going to have to do some calculations on this one. Hmm, I'll go with option D - twelve months. Better safe than sorry, right?

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Lilli

11 months ago

I agree with you, the expected duration is five months.

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Chandra

11 months ago

I'm not sure about that, I believe it's four months.

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Yvonne

12 months ago

I think the expected duration is actually five months.

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Jesusita

1 year ago

Okay, let's think this through. The most likely duration is four months, the optimistic duration is two months, and the pessimistic duration is one year. I'm going to go with option C - five months. That sounds about right.

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Jenelle

12 months ago

Yes, five months makes sense based on the three-point estimating technique.

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Rosendo

1 year ago

I agree, option C - five months seems like the right choice.

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Rueben

1 year ago

I think the expected duration is five months.

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Natalie

1 year ago

This is a trick question! The expected duration is clearly not two months, four months, or even twelve months. Whoever came up with this needs to go back to school.

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