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HRCI PHR Exam - Topic 6 Question 112 Discussion

Mathematical forecasting is also known as quantitative forecasting. Which one of the following statements best describes mathematical forecasting techniques?
D) The best predictor of future performance is past performance.
A) The predictor of future performance is risk analysis of possible outcomes.
B) The best predictor of future performance is statistical analysis of past performance results.
C) The best predictor of future performance is structured reviews of current performance.

HRCI PHR Exam - Topic 6 Question 112 Discussion

Actual exam question for HRCI's PHR exam
Question #: 112
Topic #: 6
[All PHR Questions]

Mathematical forecasting is also known as quantitative forecasting. Which one of the following statements best describes mathematical forecasting techniques?

Show Suggested Answer Hide Answer
Suggested Answer: D

Mathematical forecasting subscribes to the belief that the best predictor of future performance is past performance. This is related to human resources through behavior-based interviews.

Answer options C, B, and A are incorrect. These are not good definitions of mathematical forecasting.


by Blondell at Jun 13, 2025, 03:39 PM

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Truman
7 months ago
Totally with you on B! Makes the most sense.
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Arlene
7 months ago
I think D is too simplistic.
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Lashandra
7 months ago
Wait, isn't it more about trends than just past performance?
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Markus
7 months ago
Not sure about that, can past performance really predict the future?
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Bo
8 months ago
Definitely B! Statistical analysis is key.
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Laila
8 months ago
I thought risk analysis was more about uncertainty, so A doesn't seem to fit well with mathematical forecasting techniques.
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Nydia
8 months ago
I practiced a similar question where past performance was emphasized, so I'm leaning towards D, but I could be wrong.
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Katy
8 months ago
I'm not entirely sure, but I feel like C could be relevant since current performance reviews might help too.
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Winfred
9 months ago
I remember that mathematical forecasting relies heavily on past data, so I think B might be the right choice.
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Ryan
9 months ago
This question is testing our understanding of the definition of mathematical forecasting. I'm pretty confident that option B, which focuses on using statistical analysis of past performance, is the correct answer that captures the essence of this technique.
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Carey
9 months ago
Okay, I think I've got it. Mathematical forecasting is all about using statistical analysis of past data to predict future performance, so option B seems like the best answer here. I'll go with that.
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Karrie
9 months ago
Hmm, I'm a bit unsure about this one. The options seem to be talking about different ways to predict future performance, but I'm not sure which one specifically relates to mathematical forecasting. I'll have to think this through carefully.
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Jacquelyne
9 months ago
This seems like a straightforward question about the definition of mathematical forecasting. I'll need to carefully read through the answer choices to determine which one best describes the key characteristics.
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German
12 months ago
I'll take 'Past Performance is the Best Predictor' for $500, Alex. Gotta love these classic exam questions that test your common sense!
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Sue
1 year ago
I'm going with Option C. Structured reviews of current performance give you the most up-to-date information to make informed forecasts.
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Dexter
11 months ago
I think Option B might be better. Analyzing past performance can give valuable insights for forecasting.
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Suzan
11 months ago
Option C is a good choice. It's important to have current data for accurate forecasts.
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Jacquline
1 year ago
This is a classic trick question. The correct answer is clearly Option D - the best predictor of future performance is past performance. Simple as that.
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Rory
12 months ago
I agree with you, Option D seems to be the most logical choice.
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Catarina
12 months ago
Actually, I believe the correct answer is D) The best predictor of future performance is past performance.
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Chan
12 months ago
I think the answer is B) The best predictor of future performance is statistical analysis of past performance results.
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Kenda
1 year ago
I'm not sure, but I think it's either B or D.
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Clay
1 year ago
I agree with Youlanda, statistical analysis of past performance is key for mathematical forecasting.
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Sharika
1 year ago
I agree with Ruby. Past performance data is the key to accurate forecasting. Option B all the way!
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Colette
11 months ago
Structured reviews of current performance may not be as reliable as analyzing past performance data.
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Marylou
11 months ago
Past performance data provides valuable insights for predicting future outcomes.
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Brunilda
12 months ago
I agree, statistical analysis of past performance results is crucial for accurate forecasting.
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Tambra
12 months ago
I think option B is the best predictor of future performance.
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Youlanda
1 year ago
I think the answer is B.
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Ruby
1 year ago
Option B is the best answer. Statistical analysis of past performance is the most reliable way to predict future outcomes.
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Elke
1 year ago
Using past performance data is key to making informed decisions for the future.
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Carman
1 year ago
Statistical analysis of past performance is crucial for accurate predictions.
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Elbert
1 year ago
I agree, option B is the most reliable choice for mathematical forecasting.
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