Ugh, interest rate parity... the only thing more confusing than that is trying to figure out how many licks it takes to get to the center of a Tootsie Pop. Oh well, let's give this a shot!
This is a piece of cake! Just plug and chug the numbers into the parity formula. I could do this in my sleep. Although, I'd probably prefer to be sleeping right now instead of taking this exam.
I bet the correct answer is C) GBP/USD = 1.65. That's the only one that seems to match the expected depreciation of the GBP based on the interest rate differential.
Hmm, let me think this through. The UK rate is 2% and the US rate is 6%, so the interest rate differential is 4%. Using the parity formula, I'd expect the GBP to depreciate against the USD by about 4% over the 6-month period.
This question is a classic application of interest rate parity theory. The key is to calculate the expected change in the spot rate based on the interest rate differential between the two countries.
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