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CIMAPRO19-P01-1 Exam - Topic 9 Question 104 Discussion

Posted by Chau on Dec 06, 2024 at 08:48 AM

The following extract from a decision tree has been prepared for a decision that is to be made to choose between options P, Q and R.

What is the maximum expected value of profit at decision point Z?

Suggested Answer: C

References:


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33 comments · newest first
RE
Renay 11 months ago
Totally agree, $6 million feels like the right choice!
DE
Delmy 11 months ago
Wait, how can it be $2.4 million? That seems off.
TE
Terina 11 months ago
$4 million seems reasonable based on the tree.
NA
Natalya 12 months ago
Definitely not $36 million, that's way too high!
MI
Milly 12 months ago
I think the max expected value is $6 million.
AL
Aliza 12 months ago
I think the answer might be $6 million, but I’m not completely confident. I remember something about weighing the outcomes based on their probabilities.
RE
Rex 1 year ago
I feel like I might be overthinking this. Is the maximum expected value just the highest profit listed, or do I need to calculate it?
RE
Ressie 1 year ago
This question seems similar to one we did in class about maximizing profits. I think I need to focus on the probabilities given for each option.
BL
Blondell 1 year ago
I remember we practiced decision trees, but I’m not sure how to calculate the expected values for each option here.
RH
Rhea 1 year ago
I've got this! Decision trees are my specialty. I can quickly crunch the numbers and identify the option with the highest expected value.
TA
Tatum 1 year ago
Okay, let's think this through step-by-step. I'll start by calculating the expected value for each option, then compare them to find the maximum.
IZ
Izetta 1 year ago
Hmm, I'm a bit unsure about this one. The decision tree has multiple branches and probabilities to consider. I'll need to double-check my work to make sure I'm not missing anything.
SH
Shenika 1 year ago
This looks like a straightforward decision tree problem. I'll carefully analyze the probabilities and expected values to determine the maximum expected value at decision point Z.
NI
Nickolas 1 year ago
Wait, are we sure the decision tree isn't upside down? That would really throw a wrench in things. I'm going to go with option B just to be safe.
ST
Stephanie 1 year ago
↳ replying to Nickolas
User 3: Option B sounds good to me too. Let's go with that.
LA
Lavonne 1 year ago
↳ replying to Nickolas
User 2: I agree, let's stick to the options given. I choose option B.
KA
Kami 1 year ago
↳ replying to Nickolas
User 1: I think the decision tree is correct, let's not worry about it being upside down.
DA
Daren 1 year ago
Ah, the old 'maximum expected value' question. I bet the exam writers have a sense of humor, hiding the answer in plain sight like that.
KI
Kimbery 1 year ago
↳ replying to Daren
C) $36 million
DE
Denny 1 year ago
↳ replying to Daren
B) $6 million
MI
Michael 1 year ago
↳ replying to Daren
A) $4 million
TH
Theola 2 years ago
This is a tricky one. I think I need to go back and review my decision tree concepts. The answer might be more complicated than it seems at first glance.
WE
Werner 1 year ago
↳ replying to Theola
I'm not sure, but I think it could be B) $6 million.
CH
Christa 1 year ago
↳ replying to Theola
B) $6 million
VA
Vannessa 1 year ago
↳ replying to Theola
I think the answer might be A) $4 million.
AU
Augustine 1 year ago
↳ replying to Theola
A) $4 million
RE
Regenia 2 years ago
I'm not sure how they came up with $36 million. The values at the endpoints are $4 million, $6 million, and $2.4 million, so shouldn't the answer be one of those?
AS
Ashlyn 2 years ago
Option C is clearly the answer. The maximum expected value of profit at decision point Z is $36 million, as shown in the decision tree.
NI
Nina 1 year ago
↳ replying to Ashlyn
No, the correct answer is C) $36 million.
MI
Micaela 1 year ago
↳ replying to Ashlyn
I think the answer is B) $6 million.
EL
Elmira 2 years ago
Why do you think it's C)?
LA
Latia 2 years ago
I disagree, I believe the answer is C) $36 million.
EL
Elmira 2 years ago
I think the answer is B) $6 million.
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