Yeah, the three-point estimate is more about estimating a range of possible outcomes, not the average. Modeling and simulation could also be relevant, but I think the 'expected monetary value' is the most direct answer here.
Agreed, that's gotta be the right answer. Although, I have to say, the 'three-point estimate' option is a bit of a curve ball. I've heard of that before, but I'm not sure it quite fits the description in the question.
I was thinking the same thing. Expected monetary value analysis is all about weighing the potential outcomes and their probabilities to determine the average expected result. Seems like a pretty straightforward statistical concept to me.
Hmm, this question seems to be testing our understanding of statistical concepts. I think the answer might be 'Expected monetary value analysis' since it involves calculating the average outcome when different scenarios are possible.
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