What is the main value of scenario analysis in risk identification?
The correct answer is C. Exploring multiple realistic future scenarios and their possible impacts. Scenario analysis is a forward-looking technique that helps organizations identify risks by examining different plausible future conditions and their potential effects on objectives.
ISO 31000 encourages organizations to consider uncertainty and change. Scenario analysis supports this by moving beyond single-outcome predictions and allowing organizations to explore how combinations of events may unfold. This enhances preparedness and resilience.
Option A is too narrow. Option B is backward-looking. Option D limits insight to past data.
From a PECB ISO 31000 Lead Risk Manager perspective, scenario analysis is valuable for identifying emerging and strategic risks. Therefore, the correct answer is exploring multiple realistic future scenarios.
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