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PECB ISO-31000-Lead-Risk-Manager Exam - Topic 2 Question 12 Discussion

What is the main value of scenario analysis in risk identification?
C) Exploring multiple realistic future scenarios and their possible impacts
A) Predicting the most likely outcome
B) Analyzing past scenarios to avoid repetition
D) Ranking risks based solely on historical data

PECB ISO-31000-Lead-Risk-Manager Exam - Topic 2 Question 12 Discussion

Actual exam question for PECB's ISO-31000-Lead-Risk-Manager exam
Question #: 12
Topic #: 2
[All ISO-31000-Lead-Risk-Manager Questions]

What is the main value of scenario analysis in risk identification?

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Suggested Answer: C

The correct answer is C. Exploring multiple realistic future scenarios and their possible impacts. Scenario analysis is a forward-looking technique that helps organizations identify risks by examining different plausible future conditions and their potential effects on objectives.

ISO 31000 encourages organizations to consider uncertainty and change. Scenario analysis supports this by moving beyond single-outcome predictions and allowing organizations to explore how combinations of events may unfold. This enhances preparedness and resilience.

Option A is too narrow. Option B is backward-looking. Option D limits insight to past data.

From a PECB ISO 31000 Lead Risk Manager perspective, scenario analysis is valuable for identifying emerging and strategic risks. Therefore, the correct answer is exploring multiple realistic future scenarios.


Contribute your Thoughts:

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I’m a bit confused; I thought ranking risks based on historical data was important, but it seems less relevant in this context.
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Georgiana
5 days ago
I feel like analyzing past scenarios could be useful too, but it might not be the best answer here.
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Catarina
10 days ago
I remember practicing a question similar to this, and I think option C makes the most sense because it considers various impacts.
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Gracia
15 days ago
I think scenario analysis helps us explore multiple future scenarios, but I'm not entirely sure if that's the main value.
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