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CIPS L4M7 Exam - Topic 1 Question 47 Discussion

Posted by Chantay on Sep 14, 2024 at 02:25 PM

Which of the following are examples of subjective methods of forecasting? Select TWO that apply.

Suggested Answer: A, B

The most common subjective forecasting techniques include the following:

- Market surveys

- Employee surveys

- Expert knowledge (Delphi method is a method using expert knowledge)

- Test marketing

Cycle counting is a periodic analysis of inventory in a storage location which is conducted through the counting of samples instead of physically counting the entire inventory available, so as to quickly have an accurate estimate of the inventory available without causing a stop to the day to day working as is the case with physically counting every unit.

The Pareto principle (also known as the 80/20 rule, the law of the vital few, or the principle of fac-tor sparsity) states that, for many events, roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes.

Weighted moving averages assign a heavier weighting to more current data points since they are more relevant than data points in the distant past. The sum of the weighting should add up to 1 (or 100 percent).


LO 2, AC 2.3

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32 comments · newest first
EM
Emogene 11 months ago
I thought trend line analysis was subjective too!
EL
Elenore 11 months ago
Seasonal variations are more objective, right?
CI
Ciara 12 months ago
Wait, are moving averages not subjective?
ME
Mee 12 months ago
Totally agree, those are the ones!
NI
Nickolas 1 year ago
Expert opinion and market research are subjective methods.
BE
Becky 1 year ago
I feel like trend line analysis and moving averages are more quantitative, so I’d go with expert opinion and market research for sure.
FE
Fernanda 1 year ago
I’m a bit confused because I thought seasonal variations were more objective. Can someone clarify that for me?
RA
Rachael 1 year ago
I remember practicing a question like this, and I think market research is also subjective.
CO
Corrinne 1 year ago
I think expert opinion is definitely one of the subjective methods, but I'm not sure about the second one.
LE
Leota 1 year ago
I'm confident that expert opinion and market research are the two subjective forecasting methods in this list. Those are my final answers.
GE
Gerald 1 year ago
Expert opinion and market research seem like the most obvious subjective methods here. I'll select those two and move on.
RO
Roxanne 1 year ago
Hmm, I'm not totally sure about the difference between subjective and objective forecasting methods. I'll have to think this through carefully.
LI
Lilli 1 year ago
I think this question is asking about subjective forecasting methods, so I'll focus on options that involve human judgment or opinion rather than quantitative analysis.
MA
Marguerita 1 year ago
Trend line analysis and moving averages sound like more quantitative, objective techniques. I'll avoid those and go with the options that involve human input.
MI
Micah 1 year ago
Forget the exam, I'm more interested in finding out which methods allow me to predict the winning lottery numbers. That's the real subjective forecasting I need!
DO
Donette 1 year ago
Moving averages? Really? That sounds like a statistical technique, not a subjective method. I'm going to have to think about this one.
DE
Derick 1 year ago
Market research is a great example of a subjective forecasting method. I always thought it was more on the objective side, but this question has me rethinking that.
LE
Leonard 1 year ago
↳ replying to Derick
Yes, experts provide their subjective views based on their experience and knowledge.
MA
Margurite 1 year ago
↳ replying to Derick
Expert opinion is another subjective method that can be used for forecasting.
SH
Shalon 1 year ago
↳ replying to Derick
I agree, it involves gathering opinions and insights from people.
LU
Lucy 1 year ago
↳ replying to Derick
Market research is definitely a subjective method of forecasting.
DE
Delbert 2 years ago
I'm not sure about seasonal variations though. Isn't that more of an objective data-driven approach?
GI
Giovanna 1 year ago
↳ replying to Delbert
Expert opinion is another subjective method that relies on the knowledge and insights of individuals in the field.
TI
Tien 1 year ago
↳ replying to Delbert
Seasonal variations can actually be considered a subjective method of forecasting because it involves analyzing patterns based on past experiences.
AN
Anissa 2 years ago
Expert opinion is definitely a subjective method of forecasting. I'm glad they included that one.
GL
Glendora 1 year ago
↳ replying to Anissa
Market research and moving averages seem more objective to me.
CR
Cristen 1 year ago
↳ replying to Anissa
I would choose expert opinion and seasonal variations as subjective methods.
CA
Cammy 2 years ago
↳ replying to Anissa
I think seasonal variations could also be subjective.
LO
Louann 2 years ago
↳ replying to Anissa
I agree, expert opinion is definitely subjective.
JA
Jame 2 years ago
I would also pick D) Market research as subjective.
CR
Cristy 2 years ago
I agree with Farrah. A) Trend line analysis seems more objective.
FA
Farrah 2 years ago
I think C) Expert opinion is definitely subjective.
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