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CIPS Exam L4M7 Topic 1 Question 47 Discussion

Actual exam question for CIPS's L4M7 exam
Question #: 47
Topic #: 1
[All L4M7 Questions]

Which of the following are examples of subjective methods of forecasting? Select TWO that apply.

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Suggested Answer: A, B

The most common subjective forecasting techniques include the following:

- Market surveys

- Employee surveys

- Expert knowledge (Delphi method is a method using expert knowledge)

- Test marketing

Cycle counting is a periodic analysis of inventory in a storage location which is conducted through the counting of samples instead of physically counting the entire inventory available, so as to quickly have an accurate estimate of the inventory available without causing a stop to the day to day working as is the case with physically counting every unit.

The Pareto principle (also known as the 80/20 rule, the law of the vital few, or the principle of fac-tor sparsity) states that, for many events, roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes.

Weighted moving averages assign a heavier weighting to more current data points since they are more relevant than data points in the distant past. The sum of the weighting should add up to 1 (or 100 percent).


LO 2, AC 2.3

Contribute your Thoughts:

Delbert
4 days ago
I'm not sure about seasonal variations though. Isn't that more of an objective data-driven approach?
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Anissa
9 days ago
Expert opinion is definitely a subjective method of forecasting. I'm glad they included that one.
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Jame
12 days ago
I would also pick D) Market research as subjective.
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Cristy
15 days ago
I agree with Farrah. A) Trend line analysis seems more objective.
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Farrah
17 days ago
I think C) Expert opinion is definitely subjective.
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