P Ltd, a manufacturing company, is considering a new capital investment project to set up a new production line. The initial appraisal shows a healthy net present value of $6,465 millionat a discount rate of 10% as shown in the table below:
However, management is unsure about the demand for theproduct which will be produced and has insisted that the future revenues should be reduced to certainity equivalents by taking 70%, 65% and 60% of the years 1,2, and 3 cash inflows respectively.
What should P do?
Suggested Answer: D
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15 comments · newest first
SH
Shayne
2 months ago
Yes, pressure on sales might help.
GE
Gerald
2 months ago
Re-appraising could give a clearer picture.
EL
Elena
2 months ago
True, but the numbers look good overall.
SH
Shayne
2 months ago
We need to verify forecasts first. Sales are key.
GE
Gerald
2 months ago
But the demand is uncertain. Risky move.
EL
Elena
2 months ago
I think they should proceed. NPV is strong.
MA
Marica
3 months ago
Better to re-appraise and get a clearer picture before proceeding.
IV
Ivette
3 months ago
Wait, reducing cash inflows by 30%? That seems extreme!
BU
Buffy
3 months ago
I think they should definitely re-verify those forecasts.
WI
Willard
3 months ago
But demand uncertainty is a big red flag.
RO
Roxane
3 months ago
NPV looks solid at $6.4 billion!
ER
Ernie
3 months ago
I feel like putting pressure on sales might not be the best approach. They might not have the right data to back up their forecasts anyway.
BU
Burma
4 months ago
I'm not sure if just relying on the NPV is enough. The management's concerns about demand could mean we should be cautious.
LE
Leota
4 months ago
I think we had a similar question where we had to consider risk factors. Maybe option D makes sense to get a clearer picture?
RO
Rose
4 months ago
I remember we discussed how a high NPV is a good sign, but the uncertainty in demand really complicates things.