APICS CLTD Exam - Topic 6 Question 62 Discussion

Actual exam question for APICS's CLTD exam

Question #: 62
Topic #: 6

A logistics service provider has an average on-time delivery of 30%, average damage free delivery of 30%, and average correct documentation of 30%. Which of the following values represents the probability that the next delivery would be on-time, damage free, and with correct documentation?

A0%

B3%

C30%

D90%

Show Suggested Answer

Suggested Answer: D

by Peggie at Jul 29, 2023, 10:10 PM

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Huey

5 months ago

Wait, are we really trusting those averages? Sounds fishy!

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Laurel

6 months ago

30% seems way too optimistic for a logistics provider.

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Evette

6 months ago

I don't think it can be that low, honestly.

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Zana

6 months ago

So, C is the answer, right?

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Fallon

6 months ago

The average for all three is 30%.

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Eric

7 months ago

I think the correct answer is actually lower than 30%. I recall something about needing to consider all three conditions together.

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Walton

7 months ago

I feel like the answer could be 30%, but that seems too straightforward. What if they’re not independent?

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Fatima

7 months ago

This seems similar to a practice question we did on independent events. I think we might need to multiply the probabilities together.

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Essie

7 months ago

I remember we discussed how to calculate joint probabilities, but I'm not entirely sure how to apply it here.

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Valentine

7 months ago

Hmm, I'm not sure about this one. I'll have to think it through more carefully. Locking, timestamps, and serialization all seem like they could work too.

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Della

7 months ago

Hmm, I'm a bit unsure about this one. I'll need to carefully review the information provided and consider the different types of anomalies that could occur.

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Rozella

7 months ago

I think option A might be tricky because it involves using SageMaker and training a model, which could require some level of ML understanding.

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Lili

7 months ago

Okay, I've got a strategy. I'll start by checking the API documentation for the supported operations and data formats, then I'll carefully inspect the JSON payload for any issues.

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Quiana

1 year ago

This question is like a magic trick, where the answer is supposed to be hidden in plain sight. But I'm not falling for it! I'm going to go with option A, because 0% sounds like the only logical answer here.

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Tegan

11 months ago

User 4: I'm going to take a risk and choose D) 90%

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Eva

11 months ago

User 3: I agree with Mila, it has to be A) 0%

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Mila

11 months ago

User 2: No way, that's too easy. I'm going with C) 30%

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Francesco

11 months ago

User 1: I think the answer is A) 0%

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Willow

11 months ago

User 3: Yeah, I'm going with option A as well.

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Kent

11 months ago

User 2: I agree, it seems like the most logical choice.

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Craig

11 months ago

User 4: Let's go with A) 0%

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Zita

11 months ago

User 3: I agree, it seems too obvious

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Dexter

12 months ago

User 1: I think the answer is 0%.

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Yasuko

12 months ago

User 2: No way, it can't be 0%

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James

1 year ago

User 1: I think the answer is A) 0%

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Nicolette

1 year ago

I'm feeling a bit like a detective trying to solve this case. Let's see, if the averages are all 30%, then the probability of all three events happening together should be 0.3^3 = 0.027, or 2.7%. I'll go with option B.

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Sanjuana

1 year ago

Haha, this question is like a bad joke. If the average for each event is 30%, then the probability of all three happening together is definitely not 90%! I'm going to go with option C, because 30% seems more realistic.

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Linn

12 months ago

Yeah, 30% seems like the most reasonable choice out of the options given.

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Caprice

1 year ago

I agree, 90% seems way too high for all three events to happen together.

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Erick

1 year ago

Alright, let's think this through. If the averages are all 30%, then the probability of all three events happening together should be the product of the individual probabilities, which is 0.3 * 0.3 * 0.3 = 0.027, or 2.7%. I'll go with option B.

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