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A logistics service provider has an average on-time delivery of 30%, average damage free delivery of 30%, and average correct documentation of 30%. Which of the following values represents the probability that the next delivery would be on-time, damage free, and with correct documentation?
Suggested Answer: D
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38 comments · newest first
HU
Huey
11 months ago
Wait, are we really trusting those averages? Sounds fishy!
LA
Laurel
11 months ago
30% seems way too optimistic for a logistics provider.
EV
Evette
11 months ago
I don't think it can be that low, honestly.
ZA
Zana
11 months ago
So, C is the answer, right?
FA
Fallon
12 months ago
The average for all three is 30%.
ER
Eric
12 months ago
I think the correct answer is actually lower than 30%. I recall something about needing to consider all three conditions together.
WA
Walton
12 months ago
I feel like the answer could be 30%, but that seems too straightforward. What if they’re not independent?
FA
Fatima
1 year ago
This seems similar to a practice question we did on independent events. I think we might need to multiply the probabilities together.
ES
Essie
1 year ago
I remember we discussed how to calculate joint probabilities, but I'm not entirely sure how to apply it here.
VA
Valentine
1 year ago
Hmm, I'm not sure about this one. I'll have to think it through more carefully. Locking, timestamps, and serialization all seem like they could work too.
DE
Della
1 year ago
Hmm, I'm a bit unsure about this one. I'll need to carefully review the information provided and consider the different types of anomalies that could occur.
RO
Rozella
1 year ago
I think option A might be tricky because it involves using SageMaker and training a model, which could require some level of ML understanding.
LI
Lili
1 year ago
Okay, I've got a strategy. I'll start by checking the API documentation for the supported operations and data formats, then I'll carefully inspect the JSON payload for any issues.
QU
Quiana
1 year ago
This question is like a magic trick, where the answer is supposed to be hidden in plain sight. But I'm not falling for it! I'm going to go with option A, because 0% sounds like the only logical answer here.
TE
Tegan
1 year ago
User 4: I'm going to take a risk and choose D) 90%
EV
Eva
1 year ago
User 3: I agree with Mila, it has to be A) 0%
MI
Mila
1 year ago
User 2: No way, that's too easy. I'm going with C) 30%
FR
Francesco
1 year ago
User 1: I think the answer is A) 0%
WI
Willow
1 year ago
User 3: Yeah, I'm going with option A as well.
KE
Kent
1 year ago
User 2: I agree, it seems like the most logical choice.
CR
Craig
1 year ago
User 4: Let's go with A) 0%
ZI
Zita
1 year ago
User 3: I agree, it seems too obvious
DE
Dexter
1 year ago
User 1: I think the answer is 0%.
YA
Yasuko
1 year ago
User 2: No way, it can't be 0%
JA
James
1 year ago
User 1: I think the answer is A) 0%
NI
Nicolette
1 year ago
I'm feeling a bit like a detective trying to solve this case. Let's see, if the averages are all 30%, then the probability of all three events happening together should be 0.3^3 = 0.027, or 2.7%. I'll go with option B.
SA
Sanjuana
1 year ago
Haha, this question is like a bad joke. If the average for each event is 30%, then the probability of all three happening together is definitely not 90%! I'm going to go with option C, because 30% seems more realistic.
LI
Linn
1 year ago
Yeah, 30% seems like the most reasonable choice out of the options given.
CA
Caprice
1 year ago
I agree, 90% seems way too high for all three events to happen together.
ER
Erick
1 year ago
Alright, let's think this through. If the averages are all 30%, then the probability of all three events happening together should be the product of the individual probabilities, which is 0.3 * 0.3 * 0.3 = 0.027, or 2.7%. I'll go with option B.
WH
Whitley
1 year ago
I'm not sure, but it makes sense that the probability would be 30% if each event has a 30% chance of happening.
MO
Mona
2 years ago
Hmm, this is a tricky one. I think I'll go with option D, just to cover all my bases. After all, 90% sounds like a nice, round number.
JO
Josefa
1 year ago
User 4: Well, it's always good to be optimistic and hope for the best!
GL
Glen
1 year ago
User 3: I'm not so sure about that, I think it might be a lower probability.
JA
Janine
1 year ago
User 2: That makes sense, 90% does sound like a high probability.
LA
Lauran
1 year ago
User 1: I think I'll go with option D, just to cover all my bases.
LE
Leila
2 years ago
I agree with Barbra, because each event is independent so we multiply the probabilities.
BA
Barbra
2 years ago
I think the answer is C) 30%.