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AACE International CCP Exam - Topic 2 Question 6 Discussion

Posted by Honey on Aug 25, 2024 at 12:40 AM

A used concrete pumping truck can be purchased for $125,000. The operation costs are expected to be $65,000 the first year and increase 5% each year thereafter. As a result of the purchase, the company will see an increase in income of $100,000 the first year and 5% more each subsequent year. The company uses straight-line depreciation. The truck will have a useful life of five (5) years and no salvage value. Management would like to see a 10% return on any investment. The company's tax rate is 28%.

Assuming the average life span of a lithium battery is two years and is normally distributed with a standard deviation of two months, what is the probability the battery will last between 20 months and 26 months?

Suggested Answer: D

Given that the average life span of the lithium battery is 24 months with a standard deviation of 2 months, we need to calculate the probability that the battery will last between 20 and 26 months.

Using the Z-score formula:

Z=XZ = frac{X - mu}{sigma}Z=X

For 20 months: Z=20242=2Z = frac{20 - 24}{2} = -2Z=22024=2

For 26 months: Z=26242=1Z = frac{26 - 24}{2} = 1Z=22624=1

Looking up these Z-scores in the standard normal distribution table:

Z = -2 corresponds to approximately 2.28%

Z = 1 corresponds to approximately 84.13%

The probability that the battery will last between 20 and 26 months is approximately 84%.


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30 comments · newest first
EL
Elina 11 months ago
Totally agree, 84% sounds about right for the battery!
DE
Delmy 11 months ago
Wait, how can we be sure about that battery lifespan?
AL
Alberto 11 months ago
10% return seems reasonable for this investment.
AV
Avery 12 months ago
I think the operation costs are too high for the first year.
BI
Billye 12 months ago
The truck costs $125k and has a 5-year life.
AL
Aliza 1 year ago
I feel like the answer might be around 84%, but I’m not completely confident in my calculations.
CO
Cory 1 year ago
If I remember correctly, we need to find the z-scores for 20 and 26 months, then use the standard normal table to find the probabilities.
DO
Donette 1 year ago
I think we did a similar question in class about lifespan and standard deviation, but I can't recall the exact steps to find the probability.
TY
Ty 1 year ago
I remember we practiced calculating probabilities with normal distributions, but I'm not sure how to apply it here with the battery lifespan.
AM
Ammie 1 year ago
Wait, what? A concrete pumping truck and a lithium battery? This question is all over the place. I'm not sure I can even begin to tackle this. Maybe I should move on and come back to it later.
BE
Becky 1 year ago
Alright, I've got this. The key is to focus on the cash flows, net present value, and the normal distribution for the battery life. I'm confident I can get the right answer.
CA
Cathrine 1 year ago
Okay, let's see here. We have a used concrete pumping truck, operation costs, income increases, depreciation, and a required 10% return on investment. I think I can work through this step-by-step.
NO
Nobuko 1 year ago
Hmm, this question seems a bit tricky. I'll need to carefully read through the details and make sure I understand the key information before attempting to solve it.
WI
Wilbert 1 year ago
This looks like a complex finance and probability problem. I'll need to break it down into manageable parts and make sure I'm applying the right formulas and calculations.
YU
Yuette 1 year ago
Ah yes, I remember learning about this case. The key is that it involved a man being sexually harassed by other men, which was an uncommon scenario at the time. I'll make sure to highlight that point in my response.
TH
Thaddeus 2 years ago
I think so too, the probability should be around that range based on the information provided.
LA
Lashawna 2 years ago
I believe the answer is A) 82% because it falls within the range given.
PA
Paulina 2 years ago
I agree, it involves a lot of calculations and assumptions.
MA
Maybelle 2 years ago
I think the question about the concrete pumping truck is tricky.
MI
Mitsue 2 years ago
A 10% return on investment? Seriously? That's lower than my daily coffee budget.
MA
Magdalene 2 years ago
This question is like a bad joke. A concrete truck and a lithium battery? I'm starting to question the sanity of the exam writer.
IL
Iluminada 2 years ago
Okay, let me see if I can figure this out. 84% sounds about right to me. Gotta love that normal distribution.
HO
Howard 2 years ago
↳ replying to Iluminada
I'm pretty sure it's 82% based on the calculations.
ER
Erasmo 2 years ago
↳ replying to Iluminada
Oh really? I was leaning towards 75% myself.
DE
Delbert 2 years ago
↳ replying to Iluminada
I think it's actually 82%, not 84%.
DA
Daron 2 years ago
Wait, what? Lithium batteries and concrete pumping trucks? This exam is all over the place!
MA
Madonna 2 years ago
↳ replying to Daron
I believe the answer is 84%.
OC
Ocie 2 years ago
↳ replying to Daron
I agree, it's definitely a unique mix of subjects.
PE
Peggy 2 years ago
↳ replying to Daron
I think the probability is 82%.
FA
Fausto 2 years ago
↳ replying to Daron
I know, this exam covers a wide range of topics.
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